Tropical Update: Tropical Depression Four 8/23/2014

11 PM Update | Tropical Depression Four Moving Near Southeastern Bahamas

Tropical Depression Four continues to move on a northwest heading, but has slowed to 9 mph with maximum sustained winds remaining 35 mph. Minimum central pressure is holding at 1005 mb. TD4 is presently located 355 miles east-souteast of the Nassau. For now, the forecast track continues to keep the center to the east of the Bahamian islands away from Nassau and Castaway Cay. The intensity forecast suggests they system could intensify into a tropical storm over the next few hours.

8 PM Update | Tropical Depression Four

Tropical Depression Four continues to move on a northwest heading at 11 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. Minimum central pressure is holding at 1005 mb. TD4 is presently located 245 miles east-souteast of the Central Bahamas. For now, the forecast track continues to keep the center to the east of the Bahamian islands away from Nassau and Castaway Cay.

5 PM Update | FIRST ADVISORY: Invest 96L Develops into Tropical Depression Four

TD4  formed over Turks and Caicos with tropical storm warnings issues for Turks and Caicos as well as parts of the Bahamas. The Hurricane Hunters found a well defined center of circulation earlier this afternoon prompting the NHC to start issuing advisories. The tropical depression is moving northwest at 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph. The forecast indicates the tropical depression will likely strengthen into Tropical Storm Cristobal by the end of the weekend and potentially reach hurricane strength early next week.

According to a report from a passenger onboard the Disney Fantasy, DCL has altered her Eastern Caribbean itinerary and will call on San Juan rather than St Maarten. Additionally, the charted course shown in the stateroom tv suggests she will sail close to the Florida coast down to Cuba before turning east past Hispaniola. The Disney Fantasy typically sails to the east of the Bahamas on Eastern Caribbean cruises.

Tropical Depression 4 – Spaghetti Models

Current GOES-Floater Visible Satellite Image

Tropical Cyclone Cristobal Visible Satellite Loop

GOES – Tropical Cyclone Tropical Depression Visible Satellite Loop

Tropical Cyclone History | Cristobal

This table contains the NHC’s statistics for the tropical cyclone from each advisory.

Date Time (EST) Classification Max Winds (mph) Movement/Speed Pressure (mb)
Aug 19-22 Invest 96L
 Aug 23 5 PM Tropical Depression 35 NW at 12 mph 1005
8 PM 35 NW at 11 mph 1005
11 PM 35 NW at 9 mph 1005

2 thoughts on “Tropical Update: Tropical Depression Four 8/23/2014

  1. Bill B.

    I see the Fantasy has San Juan listed as it’s first stop on it’s current track. I think that’s backward of what it normally does on this itinerary.

    Reply
  2. Scott Sanders Post author

    The scheduled itinerary was A which is St Maarten then St Thomas. From Cam’s tweet, it sounds like they will sail an altered itinerary B with San Juan then St Thomas.

    Reply

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