Tropical Weather Center • The Disney Cruise Line Blog

Current tropical weather information for the Atlantic Ocean with the latest information from the National Hurricane Center on all tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes.

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Published September 22, 2020 1:17pm EDT

000
ABNT20 KNHC 221716
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Beta, located over the Texas coast,
on Hurricane Teddy, located a few hundred miles south of Halifax,
Nova Scotia, and on Tropical Storm Paulette, located a few hundred
miles southeast of the Azores.

Showers and thunderstorms extending from the southeastern Bahamas
westward through Cuba and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico are
associated with a cold front. This system is forecast to move
little for the next day or so, then move back northward on Thursday
through Saturday. While development of this system over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico late this week is very unlikely, locally
heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Cuba through Wednesday
and over the Florida Keys and south Florida on Thursday and Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Paulette are issued under WMO header WTNT31
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on
Paulette are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS
header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Blake

NHC Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image

NHC Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image

Source: National Hurricane Center

Current Tropical Systems

Summary for Tropical Storm Paulette (AT1/AL172020)

Published September 22, 2020 1:25pm EDT

PAULETTE WEAKENS AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO

As of 3:00 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 the center of Paulette was located near 35.0, -22.3 with movement E at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Paulette 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 14:50:51 GMT

Tropical Storm Paulette 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:25:00 GMT TROPICAL STORM Paulette Models Plotted by SFWMD

Summary for Tropical Depression Beta (AT2/AL222020)

Published September 22, 2020 1:25pm EDT

BETA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER TEXAS
HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST

As of 10:00 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 the center of Beta was located near 28.9, -96.7 with movement NE at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression Beta 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:05:47 GMT

Tropical Depression Beta 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:40:19 GMT Tropical Depression Beta Models Plotted by SFWMD

Summary for Hurricane Teddy (AT5/AL202020)

Published September 22, 2020 1:25pm EDT

TEDDY EXPECTED TO BRING DESTRUCTIVE WAVES, HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Sep 22 the center of Teddy was located near 39.6, -63.7 with movement NNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 950 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.

Hurricane Teddy 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:00:17 GMT

Hurricane Teddy 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2020 15:32:49 GMT Hurricane Teddy Models Plotted by SFWMD

Source: National Hurricane Center Spaghetti Models: SFWMD

Spaghetti Models for Invests 90-99L

There are no invest spaghetti models available at this time from SFWMD

Graphical Analysis

Atlantic Surface Analysis

Satellite Loop

Tomorrow's Atlantic Surface Analysis

North Western Atlantic Wave Heights

Sea Surface Temperatures

SSMI/SSMIS-derived Total Precipitable Water - North Atlantic

Forecasting Links

DISCLAIMER Weather data is provided by a third party. This data is provided for your general information only, and should not be treated as an official forecast. Please consult your local and national weather reports for you weather making decisions.