Tropical Update: Tropical Storm/Depression Karen 10/6/13

11 AM Update | Karen Dissipates to a Remnant Low

Tropical Depression Karen is no more.  Karen dissipated this morning to a remnant low pressure system.  Satellite imagery indicates that the center of Karen is no longer well defined and therefore, is no longer a tropical cyclone.  The remnant low pressure system is moving east at 13 mph with maximum sustained winds near 30 mph.  Regeneration is not expected due to a combination of dry air and vertical wind shear.

5 AM Update | Karen Expected to Weaken to a Remnant Low

Tropical Depression Karen is on the move this morning to the northeast at 2 mph.  Maximum sustained winds have decreased overnight to 30 mph.  The National Hurricane Center estimates that Karen will degenerate to a remnant low in about 12 hours. Karen is forecast to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain over portions of the central Gulf Coast and southeastern state, mainly to the east of the forecast track.

Watches & Warnings as of 5 AM

All previous tropical storm warnings have been discontinued.  There are NO coastal tropical storm warnings or watches in effect.

The tropical cyclone is expected to merge with a frontal system and completely dissipate within the next 48 hours.

WSI Surface Analysis Oct 6, 2013

Tropical Storm Karen Spaghetti Models

Current GOES-Floater Visible Satellite Image

Tropical Storm Karen | System History

This table contains the NHC’s statistics for the tropical cyclone from each advisory.

Date Time (EST) Classification Max Winds (mph) Movement/Speed Pressure (mb)
Oct 3 8 AM Tropical Storm 60 NNW at 13 mph 1004
11 AM 65 NNW at 12 mph 1004
2 PM 65 NNW at 12 mph 1004
5 PM 65 NNW at 12 mph 999
8 PM 65 NNW at 12 mph 999
11 PM 65 NNW at 10 mph 999
Oct 4 5 AM 60 NW at 10 mph 1002
8 AM 60 NNW at 10 mph 1003
11 AM 50 NNW at 10 mph 1003
2 PM 50 NNW at 9 mph 1003
5 PM 50 NNW at 7 mph 1003
8 PM 50 Stationary 1002
11 PM 45 NNW at 7 mph 1002
Oct 5 2 AM 40 NNW at 8 mph 1004
5 AM 40 NNW at 8 mph 1007
8 AM 40 N at 10 mph 1008
11 AM 40 N at 7 mph 1008
2 PM 40 Stationary 1009
5 PM 40 N at 2 mph 1007
8 PM 40 Stationary 1007
11 PM Tropical Depression 35 Stationary 1008
Oct 6 5 AM 30 NE at 2 mph 1009
11 AM Remnant Low 30 E at 13 mph 1009

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.