Tropical Update: Dorian’s Back as a Tropical Depression 8/3/2013

5 PM Update Dorian is Done (Again)

Tropical Depression Dorian had degenerated into post tropical cyclone and continues to move to the Northeast at 16 mph with maximum sustained winds of 30 mph.  The minimum central pressure remains 1013 mb.  The system is expected to dissipate early Sunday morning.

NHC Cone PTC Dorian 5PM 2013 Aug 3

This update represents the last forecast that will be issued by the National Hurricane Center marking the official end of Dorian.

NWS Melbourne Composite Radar TD Dorian 5PM 2013 Aug 3

Although, Dorian may be gone, strong thunderstorms remain in the area of Port Canaveral.  I can hear the thunder while watching Disney Fantasy sail away on the Port Canaveral webcam.

 

Port Canaveral Cruise Cam 5PM 2013 Aug 3

11 AM Update  Tropical Depression Dorian Expected to Weaken Later Today

Tropical Depression Dorian continues to move Northeast at 14 mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.  The minimum central pressure is holding at 1013 mb. The center of circulation has moved to the north and is presently located approximately 200 miles East of Jacksonville, Florida.    There are still NO coastal watches or warnings in effect at this hour, nor are any expected as the tropical depression will eventually take a turn to the east later this evening and head out to sea.  In fact, the National Hurricane Center estimates Dorian degenerating later today into a remnant low (again) and fully dissipate in 48 hours.

NHC Cone TD Dorian 11AM 2013 Aug 3

While the center of circulation is well to the north, an area of thunderstorms producing heavy rain remains offshore to the East of Port Canaveral.

NWS Melbourne Composite Radar TD Dorian 11AM 2013 Aug 3

5 AM Update  Remnants of Dorian Regenerate East of Florida

The remnants of Dorian just will not go away.  Early this morning, Invest 91L regenerated into a tropical depression moving North at 6mph with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.  The minimum central pressure is relatively high at 1013 mb. As of early this morning the system was located approximately 85 miles North-Northeast of Cape Canaveral (Port Canaveral).  I would imagine this system made for a fun return for the Disney Fantasy.

NHC Cone TD Dorian 5AM 2013 Aug 3The models are in agreement and the system is expected to remain well offshore and eventually absorbed by a front moving into the Atlantic.  There are NO coastal watches or warnings in effect at this hour.  The current intensity forecast shows Tropical Depression Dorian has peeked in terms of maximum wind speed.

NOAA GOES Tropical Floater - Tropical Depression Dorian

 

System History

Date Time Classification Max Winds (mph) Movement/Speed Pressure (mb)
July 24 5AM EST Tropical Depression 35 WNW at 20 mph 1008
11AM EST Tropical Storm 50 WNW at 21 mph 1002
5PM EST 50 WNW at 20 mph 1002
11PM EST 50 WNW at 20 mph 1002
July 25 5AM EST 60 WNW at 17 mph 999
11AM EST 60 WNW at 17 mph 999
5PM EST 60 WNW at 18 mph 999
11PM EST 50 WNW at 20 mph 1001
July 26 5AM EST 50 WNW at 20 mph 1001
11AM EST 50 WNW at 21 mph 1006
5PM EST 45 W at 22 mph 1010
11PM EST 40 W at 22 mph 1010
July 27 5AM EST 40 W at 22 mph 1011
11AM EST 40 W at 23 mph 1011
5PM EST  DISSIPATED
July 28 Invest 91L
July 29 Invest 91L
July 30 Invest 91L
July 31 Invest 91L
Aug 1 Invest 91L
Aug 2 Invest 91L
Aug 3 5AM EST Tropical Depression 35 N at 6 mph 1013
11AM EST 35 NE at 14 mph 1013
5PM EST Post Tropical Cyclone  30 NE at 16 mph 1013
11PM EST

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