Tropical Weather Center

Current tropical weather information for the Atlantic Ocean with the latest information from the National Hurricane Center on all tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes.

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Published August 22, 2017 7:50am EDT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 221150
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Yucatan Peninsula
and adjacent water areas are associated with the remnants of Harvey.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development when the system moves over the Bay of Campeche tonight,
and a tropical depression is expected to form over the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday or Thursday. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to spread
westward across Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next day
or so. Interests in northeastern Mexico and along the Texas coast
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad trough of
low pressure near the northwestern Bahamas remains limited. Any
development of this system during the next few days should be slow
to occur while it moves west-northwestward, and then turns
northwestward or northward near Florida and the adjacent waters.
Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for
development by the weekend when the system begins to move
northeastward over the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

NHC Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
NHC Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Source: National Hurricane Center

Current Tropical Systems

No current storms in the Atlantic Basin
Source: National Hurricane Center Spaghetti Models: SFWMD

Spaghetti Models for Invests 90-99L

Invest 92L

Invest 92L Plotted by SFWMD

Forecasting Tools

Sea Surface Temperatures

Sea Surface Temperatures

SSMI/SSMIS-derived Total Precipitable Water - North Atlantic

SSMI/SSMIS-derived Total Precipitable Water - North Atlantic

Visible GOES East Satellite Loop

Visible GOES East Satellite Loop

Atlantic Surface Analysis

NOAA Tropical Atlantic Ocean Surface Analysis

48 Hour Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability

NOAA Tropical Cyclone Formation Atlantic Basin

48 Hour Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability

North Western Atlantic Wave Heights

NW Atlantic Hurricane Wave Heights (Latest Run)

Atlantic Surface Analysis

Atlantic Surface Analysis WSI

Satellite Loop

Satellite Loop WSI

DISCLAIMER Weather data is provided by a third party. This data is provided for your general information only, and should not be treated as an official forecast. Please consult your local and national weather reports for you weather making decisions.