Tropical Weather Center

Current tropical weather information for the Atlantic Ocean with the latest information from the National Hurricane Center on all tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes.

National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Published September 20, 2017 1:21pm EDT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 201721
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jose, located a couple of hundred miles south of Nantucket,
Massachusetts, and on extremely dangerous Hurricane Maria, located
near the northwest coast of Puerto Rico.

Satellite data indicate that the remnants of Lee, located about
1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands, have become less organized
today and the associated winds have decreased below gale force.
Environmental conditions are currently not conducive for tropical
cyclone formation, but they could become a little less hostile in a
day or two. This low is expected to move northward over the central
Atlantic Ocean during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
Additional information on the remnants of Lee can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web
at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

NHC Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
NHC Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Source: National Hurricane Center

Current Tropical Systems

Summary for Tropical Storm Jose (AT2/AL122017)

Published September 20, 2017 6:49pm EDT

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT
DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES

As of 5:00 PM AST Wed Sep 20 the center of Jose was located near 39.2, -69.1 with movement NE at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 976 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

Tropical Storm Jose 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 20 Sep 2017 20:46:03 GMT

Tropical Storm Jose 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 20 Sep 2017 21:25:28 GMT

Jose Imagery - GOES-Floaters

GOES-Floater Visible GOES-Floater Rainbow IR

Hurricane Models Plotted by SFWMD

Hurricane Models Plotted by SFWMD

Summary for Hurricane Maria (AT5/AL152017)

Published September 20, 2017 6:49pm EDT

CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
CONDITIONS NOW DETERIORATING OVER EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

As of 5:00 PM AST Wed Sep 20 the center of Maria was located near 18.8, -67.3 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 957 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 110 mph.

Hurricane Maria 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 20 Sep 2017 20:45:44 GMT

Hurricane Maria 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 20 Sep 2017 21:33:19 GMT

Maria Imagery - GOES-Floaters

GOES-Floater Visible GOES-Floater Rainbow IR

Hurricane Models Plotted by SFWMD

Hurricane Models Plotted by SFWMD
Source: National Hurricane Center Spaghetti Models: SFWMD

Spaghetti Models for Invests 90-99L

There are no invest spaghetti models available at this time from SFWMD.

Forecasting Tools

Sea Surface Temperatures

Sea Surface Temperatures

SSMI/SSMIS-derived Total Precipitable Water - North Atlantic

SSMI/SSMIS-derived Total Precipitable Water - North Atlantic

Visible GOES East Satellite Loop

Visible GOES East Satellite Loop

Atlantic Surface Analysis

NOAA Tropical Atlantic Ocean Surface Analysis

48 Hour Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability

NOAA Tropical Cyclone Formation Atlantic Basin

48 Hour Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability

North Western Atlantic Wave Heights

NW Atlantic Hurricane Wave Heights (Latest Run)

Atlantic Surface Analysis

Atlantic Surface Analysis WSI

Satellite Loop

Satellite Loop WSI

DISCLAIMER Weather data is provided by a third party. This data is provided for your general information only, and should not be treated as an official forecast. Please consult your local and national weather reports for you weather making decisions.